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2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

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For related races, see 2020 United States House of Representatives elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district
← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Peter Welch Miriam Berry
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 238,827 95,830
Percentage 67.3% 27.0%
Welch:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%      >90%
Berry:      40–50%      50–60%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

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The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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  • Ralph Corbo, activist[1]

Results

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Results by county:
  Welch—>90%
Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 101,566 95.45
Democratic Ralph Corbo 4,599 4.32
Write-in 237 0.22
Total votes 106,402 100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Miriam Berry, nurse and screenplay writer[3]

Eliminated in primary

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Results

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Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Miriam Berry 14,368 32.51
Republican Justin Tuthill 10,915 24.70
Republican Anya Tynio 8,830 19.98
Republican Jimmy Rodriguez 8,290 18.76
Write-in 1,789 4.05
Total votes 44,192 100.00

Progressive primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Results

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Progressive primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Chris Brimmer 469 58.04
Progressive Cris Ericson 236 29.21
Write-in 103 12.75
Total votes 808 100.00

Independents and other parties

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Peter R. Becker
  • Christopher Helali (Party of Communists USA), former U.S. Army officer, chair of the Orange County Progressive Committee, and organic farmer[5]
  • Marcia Horne, Republican nominee for the Essex-Orleans district in 2014 and 2016[6]
  • Shawn Orr
  • Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, and perennial candidate[7]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D November 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D November 2, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D November 2, 2020

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Peter
Welch (D) 		Miriam
Berry (R) 		Other
Braun Research[14] September 3–15, 2020 582 (LV) ± 4% 57% 18% 16%[b]

Results

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2020 Vermont's at-large congressional district[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 238,827 67.31% −1.89%
Republican Miriam Berry 95,830 27.01% +1.06%
Independent Peter R. Becker 8,065 2.27% N/A
Independent Marcia Horne 4,334 1.22% N/A
Party of Communists USA Christopher Helali 3,432 0.97% N/A
Independent Shawn Orr 1,926 0.54% N/A
Independent Jerry Trudell 1,881 0.53% N/A
Write-in 542 0.15% +0.08%
Total votes 354,837 100.0%
Democratic hold

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Other/not sure/no opinion" and would not vote with 6%; Becker (I) with 2%; Helali (Communist) and Horne (I) with 1%; Orr (I) and Trudell (I) with 0%

References

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  1. ^ Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020). "Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary". Burlington Free Press. Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  2. ^ a b c "Vermont Election Results – Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  3. ^ a b c d "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  4. ^ a b Meyn, Colin (August 13, 2020). "Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races". VT Digger. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  5. ^ Varricchio, Lou. "The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont". The Sun Community News. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
  6. ^ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
  7. ^ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 12, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
  8. ^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  9. ^ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  10. ^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  11. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  12. ^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  13. ^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  14. ^ Braun Research
  15. ^ "2020 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.
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Official campaign websites

Debates and forums

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